International overnight arrivals are forecast to reach a record 1.57 billion worldwide in 2026, while Europe is expected to see arrivals rise 5%, according to the WTM Global Travel Report 2026. The global total would be 2% higher than in 2025.
The report was produced by Tourism Economics, an Oxford Economics company, and presented at World Travel Market in London on November 3. Its estimates cover more than 185 countries, according to Euronews.
Regional trips gain as long-haul travel slows
Travel within the same region is projected to increase 3% this year, while journeys between regions—including long-haul trips—are expected to fall 3%. The report points to higher airfares, safety concerns and disruption to aviation routes as factors weighing on longer journeys.
The Middle East is forecast to record the steepest decline, with international arrivals down 40% in 2026. Europe, meanwhile, remains the largest destination region for international leisure nights, which are projected to grow 4%.
The report also forecasts an 8% increase in global international arrivals in 2027, including an 11% rebound in inter-regional travel. Europe’s arrivals are projected to rise another 5%, while the Middle East is forecast to recover 43%—still below its 2025 level. The outlook could change if geopolitical tensions or conflict persist.
Worldwide visitor nights, including domestic and international travel, are forecast to total 23.9 billion in 2026. Spending at destinations is projected to rise 9% to $7.8 trillion. The WTM programme lists Tourism Economics as the presenter of the report.
Clayton Ward